By Editor
Political Turmoil in Nigeria as ACF Suspension of Chairman Sparks National Debate
Introduction: A Nation at Crossroads
The suspension of Mamman Osuman, the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) Chairman, has unleashed a whirlwind of political tensions, with the Northern socio-political group finding itself in the eye of a storm over its critical stance on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration. The unfolding drama, laced with regional and partisan undertones, serves as a microcosm of Nigeria’s broader socio-political challenges—a clash between regional allegiances, national unity, and the pursuit of good governance.
This high-stakes controversy underscores the deepening fractures within Nigeria’s political landscape. The criticism of Tinubu’s policies by the ACF, particularly its claim that they have impoverished Northern Nigeria, has ignited a fierce nationwide debate. It has also exposed the intricate web of regional interests and ambitions that continue to shape the country’s political discourse. Tinubu, less than two years into his presidency, now faces an uphill battle, as his administration comes under fire not only from opposition parties but also from factions within his support base.
ACF’s Initial Outburst: A Call for a Northern Presidency
The ACF, a bastion of Northern political advocacy, jolted the nation when it openly criticised Tinubu’s economic policies during its National Executive Council (NEC) meeting in Kaduna. According to the communiqué signed by the ACF’s National Publicity Secretary, Prof. Tukur Muhammad-Baba, the forum decried policies that have “worsened conditions in Northern Nigeria” and called for their reassessment. However, the meeting’s explosive crescendo came when Chairman Mamman Osuman declared that the North would back a Northern candidate for the 2027 presidential election.
Osuman’s statement was a lightning rod for controversy. Critics were quick to pounce on what they perceived as an incendiary comment, accusing the ACF of sowing seeds of division in a nation already grappling with ethnoreligious and economic tensions. For Osuman, his words reflected the frustrations of a region reeling from endemic poverty, insecurity, and illiteracy, challenges he argued were exacerbated by Tinubu’s administration.
ACF’s U-Turn and Osuman’s Suspension
Barely had the dust settled when the ACF moved to distance itself from Osuman’s controversial remarks, branding them as personal opinions unreflective of the forum’s collective stance. In a decisive move, the ACF’s Board of Trustees (BOT) and National Executive Committee (NEC) announced Osuman’s suspension. The Secretary-General, Murtala Aliyu, emphasised the forum’s commitment to unity and impartiality, revealing that a committee had been set up to investigate the incident.
This abrupt about-face has raised more questions than answers. Was the suspension a genuine attempt to preserve the ACF’s integrity, or a calculated move to mitigate backlash and maintain political relevance? For many observers, the ACF’s actions highlight the precarious balancing act of regional politics, where leaders often tread a fine line between advocating for local interests and upholding national unity.
Regional Groups Rally Behind Tinubu
As the ACF grappled with its internal crisis, other regional groups, including the Yoruba socio-political organisation Afenifere and the Igbo cultural body Ohanaeze Ndigbo, leapt to Tinubu’s defence. These groups argued that the economic woes plaguing the nation were not solely Tinubu’s making but rather a legacy of his predecessor, Muhammadu Buhari.
Afenifere spokesperson Gboyega Adejumo lambasted the North for what he described as its failure to address systemic issues such as the Almajiri phenomenon and the neglect of education, which have perpetuated poverty in the region. Similarly, Ohanaeze’s acting President-General, Chief Damian Okeke-Ogene, stressed that the current hardship is a shared national burden, one inherited by Tinubu from Buhari’s administration. Their comments underscore the enduring regional tensions that complicate efforts to build a unified national narrative.
The 2027 Election: A Brewing Storm
The controversy has also reignited speculation about the 2027 elections, with the ACF’s initial remarks seen as a harbinger of the North’s political strategy. While Tinubu’s allies, including the All Progressives Congress (APC), dismissed the ACF’s position as premature and divisive, opposition parties like the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party seized on the opportunity to highlight what they see as the failures of the current administration.
Labour Party spokesperson Obiora Ifoh argued that Nigeria’s challenges transcend regional affiliations, calling for a focus on competence rather than geography. PDP Deputy National Youth Leader Timothy Osadolor echoed this sentiment, describing the ACF’s stance as “unnecessary grandstanding” that distracts from the urgent task of addressing national issues like hunger, poverty, and insecurity.
Tinubu’s Silence: A Strategic Gamble?
President Tinubu’s response—or lack thereof—has been notably subdued. Through his Special Adviser on Policy Communication, Daniel Bwala, Tinubu dismissed the ACF’s remarks as a distraction from his administration’s focus on governance. Bwala highlighted Tinubu’s recent efforts at the G20 Summit in Brazil, where he sought solutions to global challenges such as hunger and climate change.
This calculated silence could be a double-edged sword. While it projects an image of a leader above the fray, it also risks alienating a critical base in the North, whose support was pivotal to Tinubu’s electoral victory. Whether this strategy will pay off remains to be seen, but it underscores the delicate political tightrope the president must walk in the coming years.
The Rising Contours of Nigeria’s Political Divide
The suspension of Mamman Osuman by the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) has sparked an unprecedented debate, thrusting regional politics and Nigeria’s socio-economic challenges into the spotlight. This unfolding saga is not merely about internal discord within the ACF; it embodies a microcosm of the broader tensions that have defined Nigeria’s political landscape for decades. As the nation grapples with deepening economic hardship, the rift has ignited critical questions about regional representation, national unity, and the role of socio-political groups in shaping the country’s future.
Osuman’s controversial remarks, including the ACF’s dissatisfaction with President Bola Tinubu’s economic policies and his personal advocacy for a northern presidential candidate in 2027, have raised the stakes. His suspension is a dramatic twist, reflecting a clear divide within the northern bloc itself. This internal disarray could signal a weakening of the historically influential Arewa voice in national politics, with implications that reverberate far beyond the northern region.
The North’s Self-Reflection and the Poverty Paradox
Critics, including southern socio-political organisations such as Afenifere and Ohanaeze Ndigbo, have lashed out at the ACF for its apparent fixation on regional dominance. They argue that the North must confront its longstanding socio-economic deficiencies rather than blame external forces or specific administrations. The crux of the criticism lies in what many see as a “poverty paradox.” Despite decades of dominance in Nigeria’s central political apparatus, the northern region remains plagued by high poverty rates, illiteracy, and insecurity.
Afenifere’s spokesperson, Gboyega Adejumo, minced no words in attributing the North’s woes to systemic failures within the region itself. “The North has always had this archaic, very dehumanising practice of out-of-school children, the Almajiri system. They brought poverty to Nigeria,” Adejumo stated. He highlighted how regional mismanagement and cultural practices have perpetuated cycles of poverty, undermining the developmental efforts of successive governments.
The statistics back this argument. Northern Nigeria, despite its vast human and natural resources, consistently lags in key development indicators. The problem of over 40 million out-of-school children, many of whom become entangled in the web of insecurity and terrorism, remains a glaring issue. Southern groups have pointed out that addressing these fundamental challenges should take precedence over political posturing for the 2027 elections.
Tinubu’s Balancing Act
President Bola Tinubu finds himself in a precarious position. As the second president from the South-West in over two and half decades, his policies are under intense scrutiny from all corners of the country. The President’s economic strategies, including the removal of fuel subsidies and the floating of the naira, have been controversial. While designed to stabilise Nigeria’s faltering economy, these measures have exacerbated hardships, and appears to disproportionately affecting lower-income regions like the North.
The ACF’s critique of Tinubu’s policies echoes widespread discontent. However, the President’s allies have been quick to redirect the blame toward his predecessor, Muhammadu Buhari, a northerner who governed Nigeria for eight years. This narrative, embraced by groups like Ohanaeze Ndigbo, emphasises that Tinubu inherited an already fractured economy.
“Hardship does not know tribe or ethnicity,” remarked Chief Damian Okeke-Ogene of Ohanaeze. “It is unfortunate that the ACF is coming up to take Tinubu solely responsible for the country’s economic woes. They should also remember that some of them from the North have equally said that the North has failed them.” This perspective underscores the need for a unified national approach rather than divisive regional blame games.
Regional Politics: A Double-Edged Sword
The ACF’s actions, including Osuman’s suspension, have reignited discussions about the role of socio-political organisations in modern Nigeria. Critics argue that groups like the ACF and Afenifere, while purporting to advocate for their regions, often undermine national unity by stoking ethnic and regional tensions. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) echoed this sentiment, emphasising that the ACF’s statements do not reflect the sentiments of the entire North.
The Labour Party and the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) have taken the debate further, challenging the effectiveness of regional groups in addressing Nigeria’s systemic issues. According to NNPP’s National Publicity Secretary, Ladipo Johnson, “The real issue is that the interests of the North and other parts of the country would be better protected and enhanced by a more empathetic, listening, and caring president and administration.”
Johnson’s remarks reflect a growing disillusionment with identity politics. While the ACF’s call for northern representation may resonate with some, others see it as a distraction from the pressing need for competence and inclusivity in governance. This sentiment is shared by younger, more progressive voices within the region, who are increasingly critical of the old guard’s inability to deliver tangible results.
Tinubu’s International Outreach
As domestic debates rage, President Tinubu is doubling down on international diplomacy to address Nigeria’s multifaceted crises. His recent participation in the G20 Summit in Brazil underscores his administration’s focus on leveraging global partnerships to tackle poverty, hunger, and climate change. The President’s Special Adviser on Policy Communication, Daniel Bwala, defended Tinubu’s priorities, arguing that his focus on global governance reform is critical for Nigeria’s long-term stability.
“The President is very much committed to ensuring we deal with hunger, extreme hunger, and climate change problems,” Bwala stated. However, critics question whether these international efforts can yield immediate benefits for Nigerians grappling with inflation, unemployment, and insecurity.
The APC’s National Publicity Director, Bala Ibrahim, offered a pragmatic perspective. While acknowledging the ACF’s right to express its opinions, he cautioned against premature politicking for 2027. “Let them wait and see for the party to present a candidate,” Ibrahim remarked, emphasising the importance of focusing on governance rather than electioneering.
Emerging Coalitions: The Northern Political Landscape
Amid the unfolding drama, the Northern political landscape is undergoing a quiet but significant transformation. The announcement of a coalition involving the ACF, Northern Elders Forum (NEF), Middle Belt Forum (MBF), and the League of Northern Democrats (LND) signals a strategic realignment ahead of the 2027 elections. Spearheaded by figures like Senator Ibrahim Shekarau, this coalition aims to rebuild northern unity and influence.
Shekarau’s vision for a “transformative coalition” has been met with mixed reactions. While some view it as a necessary step to revitalise the North, others fear it could deepen Nigeria’s regional divides. The coalition’s emphasis on addressing poverty, insecurity, and disunity in the North aligns with broader calls for reform but raises questions about its inclusivity and long-term impact.
The next phase of this political chess game will determine whether the coalition can present a unified front or succumb to the same internal divisions that have plagued the ACF.
The Looming Test of National Unity
Nigeria’s socio-political narrative is at a critical juncture. The ongoing discord within the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) mirrors the broader crisis of governance, representation, and unity facing the nation. As the scheduled 2027 general elections approach, the stakes are high, and the outcomes of this unfolding drama could reshape Nigeria’s political landscape for years to come.
The question remains: how can a nation as diverse as Nigeria balance regional aspirations with national priorities? The recent turmoil within the ACF and its fallout highlight the fragility of the nation’s political alliances. This is not a new phenomenon—Nigeria’s history is replete with instances of regional power tussles undermining collective progress. However, the current context is particularly alarming given the growing socio-economic and security challenges.
The Burden of Regional Advocacy
Critics of regional groups like the ACF argue that their continued emphasis on regional supremacy detracts from the urgent need to address systemic national issues. The Southern Nigeria Peoples Union (SNP), a coalition of southern advocacy groups, articulated this concern in a recent statement:
“Nigeria cannot afford to continue this cyclical blame game between regions. The problems we face today require collaborative solutions, not regional sabre-rattling. Groups like the ACF must evolve to become platforms for constructive engagement rather than divisive rhetoric.”
This perspective underscores the growing discontent with the parochial approach often adopted by socio-political organisations. While regional representation remains a legitimate concern, the inability of these groups to rise above identity politics has led to increasing calls for reform.
The Tinubu Administration’s Response
The Tinubu administration faces a Herculean task in navigating these complex dynamics. While his economic reforms have drawn widespread criticism, they also present an opportunity to reshape Nigeria’s future. By prioritising inclusive governance and fostering collaboration across regional and political lines, Tinubu could lay the groundwork for a more unified Nigeria.
However, achieving this will require significant political will. The administration must address the root causes of the North’s challenges—poverty, insecurity, and illiteracy—while ensuring that its policies do not alienate other regions. A balanced approach that combines immediate relief measures with long-term structural reforms is imperative.
Tinubu’s Chief of Staff, Femi Gbajabiamila, hinted at such an approach in a recent press briefing. “The President is keenly aware of the challenges faced by every Nigerian, regardless of region or ethnicity. His administration is committed to delivering on its promise of a better Nigeria for all,” Gbajabiamila stated.
The Role of the Youth and Civil Society
One of the most promising developments in recent years has been the rise of youth-led movements and civil society organisations advocating for systemic change. These groups, unencumbered by the baggage of past political alliances, are increasingly calling for accountability, transparency, and inclusivity in governance.
The EndSARS protests of 2020 marked a turning point, demonstrating the potential of youth activism to influence national discourse. While the movement was initially focused on police brutality, its broader implications for governance and representation are still being felt.
Today, these youth movements are more organised and strategic. Groups like the Coalition for Nigeria’s Future (CNF) are actively engaging with policymakers, mobilising voters, and advocating for reforms. Their emphasis on competence and accountability over regional and ethnic considerations is a refreshing departure from traditional politics.
A Path Forward: Bridging the Divide
The road to national unity and progress will not be easy, but it is not unattainable. Several steps could help bridge the regional and political divides threatening Nigeria’s stability:
Strengthening National Institutions: A robust and impartial judicial system, a transparent electoral process, and effective governance mechanisms are critical for addressing grievances and fostering trust among regions.
Investing in Education and Infrastructure: Targeted investments in education, healthcare, and infrastructure, particularly in underdeveloped regions, can help address the root causes of poverty and inequality.
Promoting Dialogue and Reconciliation: Initiatives that foster inter-regional dialogue and reconciliation, such as those advocated by the Nigerian Indigenous Nationalities Alliance for Self-determination (NINAS), can help mitigate tensions and build consensus on national priorities.
Empowering Youth and Civil Society: Supporting youth-led movements and civil society organisations can amplify voices advocating for systemic change and inclusivity.
2027: A Watershed Moment
As the countdown to the 2027 elections begins, Nigeria stands at a crossroads. The choices made by political leaders, regional groups, and citizens in the coming years will determine the nation’s trajectory. The suspension of Mamman Osuman and the ensuing controversy have exposed deep-seated issues that cannot be ignored.
For President Tinubu, the challenge lies in proving that his administration can rise above partisan and regional interests to deliver on its promises. For the ACF and other socio-political organisations, the challenge is to evolve into platforms that prioritise national unity over regional dominance.
Ultimately, the responsibility for Nigeria’s future rests with its people. By demanding accountability, rejecting divisive politics, and embracing a shared vision for progress, Nigerians can chart a course toward a more inclusive and prosperous nation.
Conclusion
The unfolding drama within the ACF is a wake-up call for Nigeria. It is a stark reminder of the dangers of regionalism and the urgent need for collective action to address the country’s challenges. As the 2027 elections approach, the stakes have never been higher. The path forward will require courage, compromise, and an unwavering commitment to the ideals of unity and progress.
Whether Nigeria can rise to the occasion remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the time for decisive action is now.
