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ABUJA, Nigeria โ€” In a blistering critique that has electrified Nigeria’s political landscape, former Vice President and 2023 presidential candidate of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), Atiku Abubakar, outlined an alternative roadmap he would have taken to govern Nigeria if he were in power.

In a searing critique of Tinubu’s policies, Atiku Abubakar unveils an alternative roadmap for Nigeria. November 3, 2024.

Addressing critical issues in President Bola Tinubu’s administration, Atikuโ€™s statement spans topics from economic reforms and subsidy removal to national security, infrastructure, and foreign exchange management. This striking declaration challenges Tinubuโ€™s policies and decisions, presenting an incisive reflection on what some Nigerians perceive as ineffective governance and poor leadership strategies.

In this exposรฉ, we delve into Atiku’s vision, dissect the core components of his proposed policies, and analyze the impact of Tinubu’s administration’s actions on Nigeriaโ€™s economy, security, and socio-political structure. With the 2023 general election a recent memory, this commentary comes at a crucial moment when Nigerians are grappling with harsh economic realities.

Through Atikuโ€™s words, we gain insight into the policies he believes would have steered Nigeria away from its present economic and social turmoil. This report not only contrasts Atikuโ€™s theoretical solutions with Tinubuโ€™s decisions but also considers the deeper implications of Atikuโ€™s insights for Nigeriaโ€™s future trajectory.


Atikuโ€™s Alternative Vision: A Deep Dive into His โ€œCovenant with Nigeriansโ€

Atiku Abubakarโ€™s statement goes beyond simple political rhetoric; it reflects a meticulously crafted plan based on a detailed policy document titled “My Covenant with Nigerians.” Unlike President Tinubu, whom he accuses of deploying โ€œtrial-and-errorโ€ strategies, Atiku insists that his approach would have been characterised by careful planning, robust consultations, and a sequenced implementation of reforms aimed at stabilising Nigeriaโ€™s fragile economy.

Underpinning Atikuโ€™s proposal is a clear focus on diagnostic assessments of Nigeriaโ€™s economic conditions. He argues that effective governance begins with an accurate understanding of the nationโ€™s weaknesses and challenges. His emphasis on consultations and the inclusion of all stakeholders suggests an approach that values inclusivity and accountabilityโ€”elements that he contends are missing from Tinubuโ€™s administration.

Critiquing Tinubuโ€™s Economic Policies: โ€œAn Overkillโ€ Approach?

One of Atikuโ€™s most scathing criticisms of Tinubuโ€™s administration is the simultaneous implementation of sweeping economic reforms without adequate stabilisation measures. According to Atiku, โ€œunleashing reforms to determine an appropriate exchange rate, cost-reflective electricity tariff, and PMS price at one and the same time is certainly an overkill.โ€ He contends that these policies, implemented without a robust framework, have exacerbated inflation, stifled small businesses, and plunged many Nigerians into deeper economic hardship.

Atikuโ€™s perspective points to a fundamental difference in economic philosophy. His strategy, as he describes it, would have prioritised achieving โ€œfiscal and monetary congruenceโ€ before introducing significant reforms. By sequencing reforms and ensuring a stable exchange rate prior to the removal of subsidies, he argues, the economy could be cushioned from the shockwaves that Tinubuโ€™s policies have unleashed. Here, Atikuโ€™s critique resonates with many Nigerians who feel Tinubuโ€™s policies have lacked foresight and have failed to consider the day-to-day realities of ordinary citizens.

Leading by Example: A Call for Transparency and Accountability in Governance

In a nation where corruption and mismanagement have long plagued public institutions, Atikuโ€™s pledge to lead by example is particularly striking. He highlights a crucial pointโ€”that true leadership requires humility, transparency, and a commitment to living modestly while citizens struggle. According to Atiku, โ€œany fiscal reform to improve liquidity and the management of our fiscal resources must first eliminate revenue leakages arising from governance.โ€

Atikuโ€™s statement implies that Tinubuโ€™s administration, instead of championing fiscal responsibility, has chosen policies that burden Nigerians while maintaining a luxurious lifestyle for government officials. This assertion speaks to the heart of Nigeriaโ€™s economic crisis: an entrenched system of wealth for the elite, subsidised by the sacrifices of the masses. Atikuโ€™s approach suggests that he would have introduced austerity measures within government circles before imposing painful economic reforms on the general populace.

Subsidy Removal: A Controversial Standpoint

The removal of subsidies, a decision that has sparked outrage across Nigeria, serves as a significant point of contention between Atikuโ€™s vision and Tinubuโ€™s policies. Atiku has long advocated for the removal of petroleum subsidies, arguing that the process is โ€œopaque with so much scope for arbitrariness and corruption.โ€ However, he emphasises a gradualist approach, a method that he claims would have minimised the economic disruption caused by an immediate, full withdrawal.

Atikuโ€™s alternative plan includes a comprehensive social protection program, designed to shield Nigeriaโ€™s vulnerable populations from the sharp price increases resulting from subsidy cuts. In stark contrast, Tinubuโ€™s approach is seen by Atiku and many critics as abrupt and unsustainable. By comparing Nigeriaโ€™s approach to that of countries like Malaysia and Indonesia, Atiku reinforces his stance that a phased subsidy removal would allow for economic adaptation and prevent the widespread hardship currently being experienced.

Addressing Nigeriaโ€™s Security Crisis: A Policy of Empathy and Inclusion

Atikuโ€™s policy proposal extends beyond economic issues to address the alarming state of Nigeriaโ€™s security. He outlines a transformative approach to reforming security institutions, which includes improved funding, welfare programmes for security personnel, and a Special Presidential Welfare Initiative. His emphasis on enhancing the welfare of security forces is a stark contrast to the reported demoralisation and underfunding faced by personnel under the current administration.

Furthermore, Atiku advocates for alternative conflict resolution methods such as diplomacy and strengthened border control, which he claims would create a safer environment and foster good neighbourliness. His approach calls for leveraging Nigeriaโ€™s traditional institutions and forging alliances, signalling a belief in long-term, sustainable peace over reactive military interventions. This shift reflects Atikuโ€™s contention that Tinubuโ€™s policies are too focused on short-term measures, neglecting the structural reforms necessary to create lasting stability.

Launching an Economic Stimulus Fund: Empowering Nigeriaโ€™s Youth and MSMEs

One of the most ambitious aspects of Atikuโ€™s proposal is his plan to launch an Economic Stimulus Fund (ESF) with an initial investment of $10 billion. This fund would serve as a lifeline for small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) across sectors, catalyzing job creation and fostering entrepreneurship. Additionally, Atiku proposes a skills-to-job programme targeting Nigeriaโ€™s youthโ€”a demographic currently plagued by high unemployment rates.

This aspect of Atikuโ€™s plan underscores his commitment to addressing the root causes of poverty and economic stagnation in Nigeria. By prioritising skills development and providing resources to MSMEs, Atiku presents a vision of an empowered, self-reliant populaceโ€”a stark contrast to the existing administrationโ€™s reliance on short-term palliatives. His argument that the ESF would have an initial capacity of $10 billion raises questions about Tinubuโ€™s apparent lack of strategic investment in grassroots economic growth.

An Infrastructure Development Unit for Accelerated National Growth

Another pillar of Atikuโ€™s proposed governance model is the establishment of an Infrastructure Development Unit (IDU) that would operate directly under the Presidentโ€™s office. This IDU, he contends, would be responsible for expediting infrastructure projects and ensuring that Nigeriaโ€™s infrastructure development agenda aligns with the governmentโ€™s broader economic objectives.

Atikuโ€™s vision of a dedicated IDU reflects a desire for accountability and coherence in infrastructure projectsโ€”a far cry from the fragmented and often inefficient execution witnessed under previous administrations. By bringing infrastructure development directly under presidential oversight, Atiku argues that Nigeria could avoid the bureaucratic bottlenecks that typically stall projects, thereby creating an enabling environment for economic growth.

Reforming Foreign Exchange: A Managed Floating System

One of the most contentious issues within Nigeriaโ€™s economic sphere is the management of foreign exchange. Atiku proposes a managed floating system, contrasting sharply with the current administrationโ€™s handling of multiple exchange rate windows. He condemns the current system, labelling it as one that enriches โ€œopportunists, rent-seekers, middlemen, arbitrageurs, and fraudsters.โ€

Atikuโ€™s managed float approach would, according to him, create a balance between stability and flexibility in the exchange market. This stance is intended to foster a fairer economic environment where foreign exchange rates do not disproportionately benefit an elite few. Atikuโ€™s insistence on a gradual approach, rather than abrupt shifts in policy, echoes his recurring theme of strategic, people-centred governance.


A Vision of Accountability, Empathy, and Structured Reform

Atiku Abubakarโ€™s critique of President Tinubuโ€™s administration is as much a roadmap for reform as it is an indictment of Nigeriaโ€™s current state. His proposals reveal a model that emphasises consultation, empathy, accountability, and strategic planningโ€”qualities he suggests are absent in Tinubuโ€™s administration. Through his โ€œCovenant with Nigerians,โ€ Atiku attempts to lay out a compelling vision for a nation free from the clutches of short-sighted policies and elite-driven economics.

While it is uncertain whether Atikuโ€™s proposals could fully address Nigeriaโ€™s complex challenges, his ideas resonate with a population weary of government inefficiency and economic hardship. His statement shines a spotlight on the potential for a different Nigeria, one led by empathy, responsibility, and a commitment to genuine reform. Whether or not Atiku will have a chance to implement his ideas remains to be seen, but his vision has undoubtedly added a powerful voice to Nigeriaโ€™s ongoing conversation about its future.


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