}

Seplat Energy Plc this week framed domestic gas as the engine of prosperity for Nigeria. It is also seen as a driver for Africa. The company pledged major investments in gas processing capacity aimed squarely at local markets.

At the Africa Energy Week in Cape Town, the company’s Director, New Energy, Okechukwu Mba, stated gas can power homes. He emphasised its ability to power industry and cleaner cooking. It can also displace deadly biomass and costly diesel generation.

The pledge is not mere rhetoric. Seplat points to the ANOH gas processing plant. It highlights recent deliveries of butane from its Bonny River Terminal. There are also plans to dispatch LPG from both Sapele and ANOH before year end.

Yet the promise sits uneasily atop a battered power sector. Nigeria’s national grid struggles with repeated collapses. It faces chronic underinvestment. Theft compounds the issue by hollowing out the value chain from molecules at the wellhead to electrons in the home.

Analysts estimate that unreliable power costs the economy billions every year. Without a commercially viable power sector, new gas projects will chronically struggle for bankable offtake.

Seplat itself warns that bankable anchor customers must be secured. Transmission constraints also need to be addressed. Additionally, the liquidity crisis in the power sector must be fixed. These measures are necessary to unlock domestic gas development at scale.

The ANOH plant has become a focal point. Originally advanced as a landmark midstream project to supply industrial and power customers, ANOH’s commissioning timetable has slipped. Its milestones have shifted through 2024 and 2025. This is due to delays in pipeline and river crossing works.

Seplat’s own recent reporting shows mechanical completion steps achieved. Live hydrocarbon commissioning is in progress. First gas expectations have been adjusted into the latter half of 2025.

The practical implication is blunt. Capital sitting in large gas trains needs dependable routes to customers. Otherwise, it risks idling assets. Demand remains unmet by a dysfunctional grid.

Seplat’s strategy is deliberately broad. The group is not only chasing pipeline gas contracts. It is investing in LPG and compressed natural gas. These investments aim to reach households and vehicles beyond the pipeline network.

The company celebrated its first domestic butane lifts from Bonny River Terminal this year. It has signalled that Sapele and ANOH will add LPG capacity to displace charcoal and wood.

The CNG choice is being promoted for urban transport and haulage. It is considered a rapid and low-cost substitute to petrol and diesel. This change will have immediate economic benefits and improve public health if the infrastructure can be rolled out.

But the leap from promise to impact will need confronting three hard truths. First the power sector’s financial model is broken. Distribution companies and generators face mounting receivables, liquidity shortages and tariff regimes that fail to underpin long term capital investment.

Private gas developers need credible reforms to cash flows. Tariff realism is also crucial. Without these changes, they will be unable to secure the bankable offtake contracts that Mba describes as essential.

Second infrastructure bottlenecks persist stubborn. The ANOH plant’s commercial potential depends on pipelines like OB3 and river crossing works that have been delayed.

Gas can’t flow where trunk pipelines halt. As a result, it can’t reach the very thermal stations and industrial anchors that would justify the plant’s capital. Seplat notes ongoing work to connect wells and finish pipeline links. Yet, timeline slippage raises the risk. Supply and demand will miss each other at launch.

Third social and distribution challenges persist. Replacing biomass with LPG in millions of homes requires reliable last mile delivery, price stability and consumer confidence.

Seplat’s Bonny butane milestone is significant. Still, scaling to national impact will mean building distribution networks. It will also involve incentivising adoption in the informal economy. In this economy, fuel choices are shaped by cash flow, not climate arguments.

For policymakers the stakes are political and economic. Domestic gas has a rare trifecta. It reduces emissions versus biomass. It lowers transport and cooking costs for households. It also creates predictable demand that attracts investment.

To harvest that trifecta, the state must tidy contracts. They need to unstick pipelines. It must shore up transmission networks. Additionally, the state should fix the power sector’s finances. This will guarantee payments reach generators and gas suppliers.

Without these reforms, Seplat’s midstream ambition risks becoming yet another bandage on a system that needs hospital grade surgery.

Seplat’s message at AEW was clear and unapologetic. The company is betting on domestic gas as a growth engine and is deploying multiple levers to make it happen.

That bet will pay off only if government, regulators, financiers, and operators work together. They must align behind pragmatic and enforceable fixes. These solutions should take the power sector from chronic crisis to commercial credibility.

Otherwise, the rhetoric of prosperity will stay a draft plan on a waiting list. Meanwhile, households will continue to pay the real price for a grid that can’t keep the lights on.


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